Business Demography is directed to the study of population size, distribution and composition of the processes of fertility, mortality and migration in a specified study area(s) with emphases on gaining knowledge of the consequences and concomitants of demographic change to guide decision making related to the planning, development, and/or distribution of public- or private-sector goods or services for current and future use in the study area(s).
For the first part of the course:
Caselli G., Vallin J., Wunch G. (2006), Demography – Analysis and Synthesis. A Treatise in Population. Elsevier.
Chapters: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 (only Sections I and II), 8 (only Section I.1), 11 (only Sections I, II – excluding I.1 and II.2.b), 12 (only Section I), 14 (only Section I – excluding I.2 – and Section II – excluding II.3, II.5 and II.6), 15 (only Sections III.1 and III.3).
For the second part of the course:
• Swanson D., Burch T. & Tedrow L. (1996), What is Applied Demography, Population Research and Policy Review Vol. 15, n. 5-6, Special Issue on “Applied Demography: Demography and decision-making” (eds. L. Pol & H. Kintner).
• Eurostat-OECD Manual on Business Demography Statistics (2007):
http://www.oecd.org/std/39974460.pdf
• De Bartolo G. & Stranges E. Demography and Turnover (2008), in S.H. Murdock and D.A. Swanson (eds.), Applied Demography in the 21st Century, 271–284.
• An additional case study to be decided with the teachers during the office hours.
Obiettivi Formativi
The first part of the course is devoted to basic demographic tools such as: population structures and the Lexis diagram; demographic rates; direct and indirect standardisations; population increase; mortality – life table construction and interpretation; fertility and reproduction measures and interpretations; population projection and forecast; demographic transition and major population trends.
The second part of the course is devoted to the application of the materials and the methods of demography to the analysis and solution of the problems of business at the local, national, and international levels, with a primary orientation toward particular areas and the present and future.
Prerequisiti
Basic knowledge of mathematics
Metodi Didattici
Basic aapproaches and methods of Business Demography will be considered and key case-studies will be presented.
Modalità di verifica apprendimento
Compulsory written exam with questions on theory and exercises, plus an additional oral exam that can higher or lower the mark of the written exam.
Programma del corso
• Introduction to Demography and Business Demography.
• Population structures and the Lexis diagram.
• Demographic rates; direct and indirect standardisations.
• Population increase.
• Mortality measures and interpretations.
• Fertility measures and interpretations.
• Population projection and forecast.
• Demographic transition and major population trends.
• Approaches and methods of Business Demography.
• OECD Manual on Business Demography and ISTAT data.
• Demography and Turnover / EX on German firms market.
• Natality and mortality of firms.
• Demography and Economics: pension systems.
• Case studies.